{"id":9160,"date":"2026-09-28T10:56:51","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:56:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=9160"},"modified":"2026-09-28T10:57:03","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:57:03","slug":"rba-decision-tomorrow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ko\/news-analysis\/rba-decision-tomorrow\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA decision tomorrow"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The dollar strengthens, with gold moving lower and oil prices finding support as President Trump rejects Iran\u2019s ceasefire proposal. In other news, market participants may find themselves tuning into the RBA\u2019s decision tomorrow, in which the bank is widely expected to hike rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7707<\/td><td>-0.46%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>DXY<\/strong><\/td><td>101.15<\/td><td>+0.18%<\/td><td>Mid-East<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>AUD\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>0.7014<\/td><td>-0.13%<\/td><td>RBA decision tomorrow<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4157<\/td><td>-2.97%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent Crude<\/strong><\/td><td>106.38<\/td><td>1.95%<\/td><td>US rejects Iran proposal<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-president-trump-rejects-iran-ceasefire-proposal\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 President Trump rejects Iran ceasefire proposal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Iran last week had presented Washington with a plan that was meant to re-open the Strait of Hormuz within seven days had it been accepted. However, on Saturday President Trump announced that he had rejected the proposal, stating per Reuters that \u201cThey want to make a deal to open the Hormuz Strait immediately because they&#8217;re losing so badly\u201d and that the US was \u201cwinning tremendously\u201d. In turn, the rejection of the Iranian deal, could lead to heightened tensions between the two nations, should they exchange blows militarily. Thus, following the announcement, the oil prices may have found support once the market opened.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (OIL):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-rba-decision-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 RBA decision tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place during tomorrow\u2019s Asian and could thus the Aussie could garner attention from market participants. In particular, the bank is widely expected to hike rates by 25 basis points, with AUD OIS implying a 99% probability for such a scenario to materialize. Therefore, participants may have already priced in the rate hike in the Aussie and thus attention could shift to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement where any implication of further rate hikes could provide further support for the AUD. On the other hand, an implication of the bank remaining on hold could have the opposite effect. In our view, we wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see an overall hawkish tone emerging from the bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (AUD):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-us-and-china-agree-to-a-60bn-low-tariff-regime\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 US and China agree to a $60bn low tariff regime<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US and China have agreed to create a lower tariff regime, covering $60bn in non-sensitive goods. According to media outlets, the so called 30 for 30 framework by a board of trade would allow each country to import $30bn worth of goods from each other&nbsp; at lower tariff rates. The deal showcases an improvement in the relationship between the two nations with the Chinese commerce ministry stating that the deal would help \u201cmaintain stability\u201d in economic relations with the US. Overall, the deal may alleviate worries of another trade war between the US and China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (Gold) :<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-ecb-elderson-speaks\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ECB Elderson speaks<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 12:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> N\/A<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could influence the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-fed-governor-cook-speaks\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>FED Governor Cook speaks<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 20:25<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> N\/A<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could influence the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TOMORROW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-rba-interest-rate-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RBA interest rate decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 07:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 4.60%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 4.35%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the AUD<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-oil-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[OIL \/ COMMODITIES]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"305\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-19.png\" alt=\"[OIL \/ COMMODITIES]\" class=\"wp-image-9161\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9737704918032788;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-19.png 602w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-19-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-19-300x152.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil prices appear to be moving in an upwards fashion, having rebounded above our resistance now turned to support at the 91.25 (S1) level. We opt for a bullish outlook for the commodity and supporting our case is the upwards moving trendline on our chart. However, we should note that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/what-is-rsi-indicator-and-how-to-use-it-as-a-true-professional\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8452\">RSI indicator<\/a> currently showcases a figure close to 50, implying a neutral market sentiment. For our bullish outlook to be maintained, we would require a clear break above our 99.30 (R1) resistance line, with the next possible target for the bulls being our 105.60 (R2) resistance level. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would require oil\u2019s price to remain between our 91.25 (S1) support level and our 99.30 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook, we would require a break below our 91.25 (S1) support line, with the next possible target being our 84.75 (S2) support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 99.30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 105.60<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 91.25<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 84.75<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>Dollar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Rejection of Iran\u2019s proposed deal<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-the-us-proposing-a-ceasefire-deal\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The US proposing a ceasefire deal<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US proposing a ceasefire deal after rejecting Iran\u2019s is the biggest risk to our view<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-oil\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for Oil<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>Tensions between the US and Iran could increase as the US rejects Iran\u2019s proposal. In turn, we may see military strikes resuming the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>The US and Iran signing a peace deal<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY&#8217;S WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> ECB Elderson\u2019s speech<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> Fed Governor Cook\u2019s speech<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MORNING OVERVIEW The dollar strengthens, with gold moving lower and oil prices finding support as President Trump rejects Iran\u2019s ceasefire proposal. In other news, market participants may find themselves tuning into the RBA\u2019s decision tomorrow, in which the bank is widely expected to hike rates. MARKET SNAPSHOT MARKET CURRENT CHANGE COMMENT S&amp;P 500 7707 -0.46% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":8584,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.6 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA decision tomorrow - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The RBA is set to take their interest rate decision tomorrow, with the bank widely expected to hike by 25 basis points.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBA decision tomorrow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The RBA is set to take their interest rate decision tomorrow, with the bank widely expected to hike by 25 basis points.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ko\/news-analysis\/rba-decision-tomorrow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradingsphereofficial\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-28T07:56:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-28T07:57:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/What-is-a-cfd-trading-account-cover.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/rba-decision-tomorrow\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/rba-decision-tomorrow\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trading Sphere\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4da6fdbb3fc691c45bb17a3556eb70c2\"},\"headline\":\"RBA decision tomorrow\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-28T07:56:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-28T07:57:03+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/rba-decision-tomorrow\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":768,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/rba-decision-tomorrow\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/09\\\/What-is-a-cfd-trading-account-cover.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"News &amp; 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