{"id":9348,"date":"2026-09-30T10:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T07:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=9348"},"modified":"2026-09-30T16:28:57","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T13:28:57","slug":"us-inflation-data-due-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/fr\/news-analysis\/us-inflation-data-due-today\/","title":{"rendered":"US inflation data due today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The main event of the day is set to be the US inflation data, whilst also of interest is the European narrative with their own inflation print set to be released as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US PCE rates for August are set to be released later on today. The PCE rates are the Fed\u2019s favourite tool for measuring inflationary pressures in the economy and thus the release may garner attention from market participants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7678<\/td><td>+0.10%<\/td><td>US inflation data today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>DXY<\/strong><\/td><td>101.28<\/td><td>-0.09%<\/td><td>US inflation data today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.1350<\/td><td>+0.08%<\/td><td>Inflation data Germany+France<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4189<\/td><td>+0.18%<\/td><td>US inflation data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent Crude<\/strong><\/td><td>96.42<\/td><td>+0.27%<\/td><td>US-Iran talks<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-us-inflation-data-due-out-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 US Inflation data due out today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US PCE rates for August are set to be released during today\u2019s American trading session. The PCE rates on a core and headline rate are expected to remain steady at&nbsp; 3.3% and 3.7%, respectively. In turn, should the inflation print come in as expected or lower it could weaken the Fed\u2019s resolve to continue on their tight monetary policy cycle, i.e withholding from hiking rates further. In turn, this could weigh on the greenback. However, should the data showcase an acceleration of inflationary pressures in the US economy, then the opposite may occur with the dollar finding support from market participants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-02-germany-s-and-france-s-preliminary-hicp-rates-due-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 Germany\u2019s and France\u2019s preliminary HICP rates due today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During today\u2019s European trading session, the two economic powerhouses of the EU, France and Germany are set to announce their preliminary HICP rates for the month of September. In particular, economists are expecting an acceleration from 2.6% to 3.1% for France and from 2.9% to 3.2% for Germany. Hence, with both readings expected to note an acceleration in inflation in the Eurozone\u2019s two largest economies, pressure on the ECB to maintain their rate hiking path may intensify, which in turn could provide support for the common currency during tomorrow\u2019s trading session. In our view, we wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see an uptick in inflation for the Zone, considering how energy prices have continued to rise and the EU\u2019s overexposure to foreign suppliers of energy. However, should the inflation print come in lower than expected or showcase mixed signals it could weigh on the EUR. As a note France\u2019s HICP rates were released and came in hotter than expected at 3.4% which could support the common currency<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (EUR):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-03-boj-summary-of-opinions-to-be-released-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 BOJ summary of opinions to be released tomorrow.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The BOJ\u2019s summary of opinions are set to be released during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The summary of opinions could provide insight into the BOJ\u2019s inner deliberations in the previous meeting. Specifically, market participants may be looking to see as to whether the policymakers are indeed committed to hiking rates in the future. The market may need to be convinced that the BOJ is not going to simply adopt a wait-and-see approach as it has historically done, and should the SOP showcase such a scenario, we may see the JPY gaining. However, should it appear that policymakers are sceptical or concerned about back-to-back rate hikes, it could weigh on the Yen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (JPY) :<\/strong> Bullish&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-pce-rate-for-august\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US PCE rate for August<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.7%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 3.7%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could weaken the USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-france-s-preliminary-hicp-rate-for-september\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>France\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for September<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 09:45<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Actual:<\/strong> 3.40%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.10%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 2.60%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-germany-s-preliminary-hicp-rate-for-september\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for September<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.20%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 2.90%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TOMORROW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-boj-s-summary-of-opinions-for-their-september-meeting\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BoJ\u2019s summary of opinions for their September meeting<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 02:50<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> N\/A<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the JPY if hawkish<strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-eur-forex\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[EUR \/ FOREX]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"601\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-21.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD 4HR Chart\" class=\"wp-image-9349\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.0033333333333334;width:601px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-21.png 601w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-21-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-21-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 601px) 100vw, 601px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/forex-trading-beginner-guide-understanding-major-minor-and-exotic-pairs\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"5594\">EUR\/USD<\/a> appears to be moving in an upwards fashion for the day. Yet we would opt for a predominantly sideways bias for the pair. For our sideways bias to be maintained we would require the pair to remain confined between our 1.1333 (S1) support line and our 1.1401 (R1) resistance level. On the other hand for a bullish outlook we would require a clear break above our 1.1401 (R1)\u00a0 resistance level with\u00a0 the next possible target for the bulls being our 1.1445 (R2) resistance line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook we would require a clear break below our 1.1333 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 1.1283 (S2) support line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 1.1401<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 1.1445<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 1.1333<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 1.1283<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Neutral<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>US PCE rates<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>US PCE rates<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>US PCE rates<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>Rejection of Iran\u2019s proposed deal<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-eur\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for EUR<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>France\u2019s preliminary HICP rate for September came in hotter than expected which could provide support for the EUR. Moreover Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate is expected to accelerate as well which could aid the common currency<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>Germany\u2019s HICP rates failing to come in as expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-inflation-accelerating\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Inflation accelerating<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A hotter than expected inflation print for the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY&#8217;S WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> US PCE rates<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> France\u2019s preliminary HICP rate<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>03<\/strong> Germany\u2019s preliminary HICP rate<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>04<\/strong> US final GDP rate for Q2<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>DISCLAIMER: This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but is instead a marketing communication.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The main event of the day is set to be the US inflation data, whilst also of interest is the European narrative with their own inflation print set to be released as well. MORNING OVERVIEW The US PCE rates for August are set to be released later on today. The PCE rates are the Fed\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7997,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.6 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US inflation data due today - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Main event of the day is to be the US inflation data, whilst also of interest is the European narrative with their own inflation print set to be released.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US inflation data due today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Main event of the day is to be the US inflation data, whilst also of interest is the European narrative with their own inflation print set to be released.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/fr\/news-analysis\/us-inflation-data-due-today\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradingsphereofficial\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-30T07:50:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-30T13:28:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/forex-traders-funding-coins-charts.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/ar\\\/news-analysis\\\/us-inflation-data-due-today\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/ar\\\/news-analysis\\\/us-inflation-data-due-today\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trading Sphere\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/es\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4da6fdbb3fc691c45bb17a3556eb70c2\"},\"headline\":\"US inflation data due today\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-30T07:50:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-30T13:28:57+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/ar\\\/news-analysis\\\/us-inflation-data-due-today\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":903,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/es\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/ar\\\/news-analysis\\\/us-inflation-data-due-today\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/forex-traders-funding-coins-charts.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"News &amp; 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