{"id":9084,"date":"2026-09-17T12:57:23","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T09:57:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=9084"},"modified":"2026-09-18T11:09:46","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T08:09:46","slug":"boe-decision-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/fr\/news-analysis\/boe-decision-day\/","title":{"rendered":"BoE decision day"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The BoE\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place later on today, with the bank expected to remain on hold. Interest may shift to the BoE\u2019s inner dynamics i.e how many voted for a rate hike vs how many voted to remain on hold. Moreover, the Fed raised interest rates yesterday, with Fed Chair Warsh signalling that he is prepared to tame inflation in the US economy. For tomorrow, traders may also be interest in the BOJ\u2019s monetary policy decision, with the bank widely expected to hike rates by 25 basis points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7610<\/td><td>+0.77%<\/td><td>Market optimism<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>DXY<\/strong><\/td><td>100.21<\/td><td>-0.04%<\/td><td>Fed policymakers to shape the dollar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>GBP\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.3386<\/td><td>+0.04%<\/td><td>BoE decision today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4325<\/td><td>+1.45%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent Crude<\/strong><\/td><td>104.82<\/td><td>-0.86%<\/td><td>Mid-East in focus<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-boe-decision-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 BoE decision today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The BoE\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place later on today. The majority of market participants are currently anticipating the bank to remain on hold, thus attention could turn to the bank\u2019s accompanying statement. Should the banks accompanying statement showcase a willingness by policymakers to hike rates in their next meeting, it may amplify the market&#8217;s rate hike expectations, which may in turn aid the sterling. In our view, we would be more interested in how many MPC members vote in favour of a rate hike over those voting for a hold, as it provides greater insight into the bank&#8217;s inner dynamics and we would not be surprised to see a shift towards a more restrictive monetary policy stance i.e seeing 4 instead of 3 members voting for a rate hike. Yet overall, with the bank expected to remain on hold, the impact may depend on what happens after rather than the decision itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (GBP):<\/strong> NEUTRAL<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-boj-interest-rate-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 BoJ interest rate decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The BOJ\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The majority of market participants are currently anticipating the bank to hike rates by 25 basis points, marking a return to the bank\u2019s long awaited rate hike cycle. In turn should the bank hike rates by 25 basis points it may provide support for the JPY. Moreover, traders may be looking for clues as to whether the bank is prepared to commit to further rate hikes or if they will maintain their wait-and-see approach. Overall, any implications of further rate hikes may provide support for the JPY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (JPY):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-fed-hikes-rates-by-25-basis-points-yesterday\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 FED hikes rates by 25 basis points yesterday<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Fed yesterday hiked rates for the first time in three years by 25 basis points. The bank&#8217;s rate hike was widely expected by market participants with FFF having priced in a rate hike probability of 91%, thus it came as no surprise that they proceeded forward. However, in the bank\u2019s press conference following the decision Fed Chair Warsh noted that inflation is still to high, whilst noting that data has showcased a resilient economy and in particular the labour market. In our view, the Fed Chair\u2019s comments showcase a willingness to tame inflationary pressures in the US economy, which in turn may aid the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD) :<\/strong> BULLISH<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-boe-monetary-policy-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BOE monetary policy decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 14:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.75<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 3.75<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Remaining steady may have a relatively muted effect on the pound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-tomorrow-morning\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TOMORROW MORNING<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-boj-interest-rate-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BOJ interest rate decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 05:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 1.0%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 1.25%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could aid the JPY<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-gold-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[GOLD \/ COMMODITIES]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"601\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11.png\" alt=\"[GOLD \/ COMMODITIES] Daily Chart 17092026\" class=\"wp-image-9085\" style=\"aspect-ratio:2.0033333333333334;width:601px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11.png 601w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-11-300x150.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 601px) 100vw, 601px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gold appears to be moving in an upwards fashion for the day. Technically, gold\u2019s price appears to be moving in a sideways fashion, supported by the current breaking of our downwards moving trendline and our RSI indicator below our chart, which currently registers a figure near 50, implying a neutral market sentiment. In our view, we would maintain a bearish outlook for gold\u2019s price, and for our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/how-to-read-bullish-and-bearish-market-sentiment\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"6571\">bearish outlook<\/a> to be maintained, we would require a break below our 4180 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 4020 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would require gold\u2019s price to remain confined between our 4180 (S1) support level and our 4350 (R1) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4350<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4520<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 4180<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 4020<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> NEUTRAL<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>NEUTRAL<\/td><td>US 10YR Yields<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Mid-East<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-dovish-commentary-from-fed-policymakers\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dovish commentary from Fed policymakers<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dovish commentary from Fed policymakers following the bank\u2019s decision could lead to our view changing, as it would contradict the current narrative which emerged<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bearish-for-gold\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bearish for Gold<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>Central banks have resumed their rate hiking cycle, despite the BoE being expected to remain on hold today, the BOJ tomorrow is also anticipated to hike rates. Thus as interest rates continue to rise once again, gold may face downwards pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>The BOJ remaining on hold or the BoE seeing more policymakers opting for a hold<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY&#8217;S WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> BoE decision<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MORNING OVERVIEW The BoE\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place later on today, with the bank expected to remain on hold. Interest may shift to the BoE\u2019s inner dynamics i.e how many voted for a rate hike vs how many voted to remain on hold. Moreover, the Fed raised interest rates yesterday, with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7990,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.5 (Yoast SEO v28.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BoE decision day - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The BoE\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place later on today, with the bank expected to keep rates steady at 3.75%\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BoE decision day\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The BoE\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place later on today, with the bank expected to keep rates steady at 3.75%\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/fr\/news-analysis\/boe-decision-day\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradingsphereofficial\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-17T09:57:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-18T08:09:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/what-is-indices-trading-how-it-works.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/boe-decision-day\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/boe-decision-day\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trading Sphere\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4da6fdbb3fc691c45bb17a3556eb70c2\"},\"headline\":\"BoE decision day\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-17T09:57:23+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-18T08:09:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/boe-decision-day\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":862,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/boe-decision-day\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/what-is-indices-trading-how-it-works.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"News &amp; 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