{"id":11413,"date":"2026-11-02T15:34:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T12:34:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?post_type=news-and-analysis&#038;p=11413"},"modified":"2026-11-02T15:34:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T12:34:14","slug":"rba-decision-tomorrow-2","status":"publish","type":"news-and-analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/fr\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/rba-decision-tomorrow-2\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA decision tomorrow"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is set to be released during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The bank is currently anticipated to hike rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is to take place during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, which could lead to heightened volatility in the Aussie from today, as traders prepare for the bank\u2019s decision. For today however, we\u2019re focusing on the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI figures for October. Lastly, from a political level we must note that the US Mid-Terms are set to take place tomorrow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US 100<\/strong><\/td><td>28613<\/td><td>+0.80%<\/td><td>Anthropic IPO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/td><td>157.63<\/td><td>+0.05%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.2289<\/td><td>+0.64%<\/td><td>Germany\u2019s HICP rates today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>3900<\/td><td>+0.65%<\/td><td>DXY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent<\/strong><\/td><td>108.99<\/td><td>-3.91%<\/td><td>Will the US strike Iran this week?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-rba-to-hike-by-25-basis-points-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 RBA to hike by 25 basis points tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The bank is widely expected to hike rates by 25 basis points with AUD OIS currently implying an 86.76% probability for such a scenario to materialize. In turn, traders may be preparing for the bank\u2019s decision from today, which could lead to volatility in the Aussie. Furthermore, with the expectation for the bank to hike rates being so high at this point, we would look towards the bank\u2019s accompanying statement and in particular we would focus on any discussions regarding the inflationary risks as a result of persistently high energy prices. Overall, a hawkish rhetoric could support the Aussie and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (AUD):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-us-ism-pmi-figure-due-out-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 US ISM PMI figure due out today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US ISM manufacturing PMI figure for October is set to be released during today\u2019s American trading session. The figure is expected to remain steady, which in turn could weigh on the greenback, yet a figure higher than 54.5 could provide support for the dollar. Whereas, a lower figure could weigh on the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (EUR):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-us-mid-terms-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 US Mid-Terms tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Mid-Terms are set to take place tomorrow. Depending on the outcome, we may see a shift in power within the House of Representatives and in the Senate, which could hinder the Government\u2019s fiscal policy ambitions. In turn, depending on the outcome, the greenback may be influenced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (N\/A):<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TOMORROW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-rba-decision-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RBA decision tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 05:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 4.85%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 4.60%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support AUD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-euro-us-dollar\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[EURO, US DOLLAR]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"752\" height=\"378\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image.png\" alt=\"EUR\/USD 4HR Chart\" class=\"wp-image-11414\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9933774834437086;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image.png 752w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-300x151.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> appears to be moving in an upwards fashion. We opt for a bullish outlook for the pair and supporting our case is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/what-is-rsi-indicator-and-how-to-use-it-as-a-true-professional\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8452\">RSI<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/how-to-use-macd-indicator-a-complete-beginner-to-pro-guide\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8427\">MACD<\/a> indicators below our chart which tend to imply a bullish market sentiment. For our bullish outlook to be maintained, we would require a clear break above our 1.1245 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being our 1.1310 (R2) resistance line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would we would require the pair to remain confined between our 1.1185 (S1) support level and our 1.1245 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook we would require a clear break below our 1.1185 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 1.1120 (S2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 1.1245<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 1.1310<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 1.1185<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 1.1120<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>Tech rout<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>DXY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Possible strikes on Iran this week<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-oil\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for OIL<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>We wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see oil prices moving higher this week, considering the possible strikes on Iran by the US next which have been floating around for a few days.In addition US oil executives from Chevron and Exxon Mobil have cancelled their trips to the Middle East next week, which tends to beg the question as to their reasoning behind such a decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>No strikes on Iran next week<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-unexpected-events\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Unexpected events<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Changing of the balance of power in Congress<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY\u2019s WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> US ISM PMI figures<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>DISCLAIMER: This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but is instead a marketing communication.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is set to be released during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The bank is currently anticipated to hike rates. MORNING OVERVIEW The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is to take place during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session, which could lead to heightened volatility in the Aussie from today, as traders prepare for the bank\u2019s decision. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":9641,"template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"ts_analysis_category":[42],"class_list":["post-11413","news-and-analysis","type-news-and-analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ts_analysis_category-morning-brief"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBA decision tomorrow - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision is set to be released during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. 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