{"id":9373,"date":"2026-10-02T13:13:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T10:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=9373"},"modified":"2026-10-02T13:13:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T10:13:10","slug":"us-employment-data-due-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/es\/news-analysis\/us-employment-data-due-today\/","title":{"rendered":"US Employment data due today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The main event of the day is set to be the US employment data.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Employment data for September is set to be released today. The expectations are the data to showcase a loosening labour market, which could weigh on the dollar. Nonetheless, the NFP is notoriously difficult to predict, and thus the markets may be in for a ride today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7703<\/td><td>+0.49%<\/td><td>US employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>DXY<\/strong><\/td><td>101.95<\/td><td>-0.14%<\/td><td>US employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.1248<\/td><td>+0.04%<\/td><td>US employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4181<\/td><td>+0.10%<\/td><td>US employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent Crude<\/strong><\/td><td>99.13<\/td><td>-3.05%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-us-employment-data\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 US Employment data<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Employment data for September is set to be released today. According to expectations by economists, the data is set to showcase a loosening labour market with the NFP figure expected to come in 90k which is lower than the prior figure of 162k and the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1%. Nonetheless, the predominant sentiment is that a loosening labour market could lower the calls for a more aggressive stance by the Fed. In turn such a scenario could weigh on the dollar. Moreover, considering the cooler than expected inflation print earlier on this week for the US, a softening labour market could amplify the market\u2019s sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-02-eurozone-preliminary-hicp-rates-due-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 Eurozone preliminary HICP rates due today<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During today\u2019s European trading session, the Eurozone\u2019s preliminary HICP rates for September were released and came in hotter than expected on a headline level at 3.8% versus 3.7%. The hotter than expected inflation print showcases an uptick in inflation and could increase pressure on the ECB to continue on their tighter monetary policy path. In turn this could aid the EUR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (EUR):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-03-australian-pmi-figures-next-week\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 Australian PMI figures next week<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Australia\u2019s final composite PMI figures for September are set to be released on Monday. The figures are final and thus aren\u2019t really anticipated by economists to change, yet should the figures come in higher than expected it could provide support for the Aussie and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (AUD) :<\/strong> Neutral<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-eurozone-headline-preliminary-cpi-rates-year-on-year-for-september\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Eurozone headline preliminary CPI rates year-on-year for September<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 12:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Actual:<\/strong> 3.80%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.7%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 3.2%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-eurozone-preliminary-core-cpi-rates-year-on-year-for-september\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Eurozone preliminary Core CPI rates year-on-year for September<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 12:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Actual:<\/strong> 2.50%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 2.50%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 2.40%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-gold-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[Gold \/ Commodities]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"303\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image.png\" alt=\"XAU\/USD Daily Chart\" class=\"wp-image-9374\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9867986798679869;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image.png 602w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-300x151.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">XAU\/USD appears to be moving in a downwards fashion with the commodity currently testing our 4200 (R1) resistance level. We opt for a bearish outlook for gold\u2019s price and supporting our case is the MACD indicator below our chart and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/what-is-rsi-indicator-and-how-to-use-it-as-a-true-professional\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8452\">RSI indicator<\/a> as well which currently registers a figure below 50, implying some bearish tendencies. For our bearish outlook to continue we would require a break below our 4080 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 3945 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a bullish outlook we would require a clear break above our 4200 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being our 4350 (R2) resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4200<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4350<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 4080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 3945<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>USD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-eur\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for EUR<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>The Zone\u2019s CPI rates came in hotter than expected which could provide support for the EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>Stronger than expected US Employment data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-employment-data\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Employment data<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A stronger than expected US Employment data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY&#8217;S WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> US Employment data<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The main event of the day is set to be the US employment data. MORNING OVERVIEW The US Employment data for September is set to be released today. The expectations are the data to showcase a loosening labour market, which could weigh on the dollar. Nonetheless, the NFP is notoriously difficult to predict, and thus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7997,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.6 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Employment data due today - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Employment data due today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The main event of the day is set to be the US employment data. MORNING OVERVIEW The US Employment data for September is set to be released today. The expectations are the data to showcase a loosening labour market, which could weigh on the dollar. 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