{"id":10934,"date":"2026-10-28T10:42:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T07:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=10934"},"modified":"2026-10-30T15:49:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T12:49:21","slug":"fed-and-boc-decisions-today","status":"publish","type":"news-and-analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/es\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/fed-and-boc-decisions-today\/","title":{"rendered":"FED and BoC decisions today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Fed\u2019s and the BoC\u2019s interest rate decisions are set to take place during today\u2019s American session, with the Fed widely expected to remain on hold, whilst the BoC may hike rates<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019re looking forward to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision today in which the bank is widely expected to remain on hold. Moreover, the BoC\u2019s interest rate decision is also taking place today, in which the bank is expected to hike by 25 basis points. Earlier on today, the RBNZ took the markets by surprise by remaining on hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7731<\/td><td>+0.12%<\/td><td>Fed decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD\/CAD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.4060<\/td><td>+0.05%<\/td><td>BoC decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.1126<\/td><td>+0.02%<\/td><td>Fed decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4055<\/td><td>-0.12%<\/td><td>Fed decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent<\/strong><\/td><td>114.56<\/td><td>+0.57%<\/td><td>Fed decision<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-fed-decision-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 FED decision today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Fed is widely expected to remain on hold during their meeting later on today during the American trading session. The majority of market participants are currently anticipating the bank to remain on hold with FFF implying an 87% probability for such a scenario to materialize. In turn the attention could turn to Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s comments for any clues into the bank\u2019s decisions for their next meeting. In our view, having seen the acceleration of inflationary pressures in the US economy, combined with a relatively resilient labour market, we would not be surprised to see the Fed Chair striking a hawkish undertone in his communications today, which could provide support for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-boc-decision-in-sight\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 BoC decision in sight<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank of Canada\u2019s interest rate decision is set to take place tonight, with the bank widely expected by economists to hike rates by 25 basis points. Specifically, CAD OIS currently places a 77% probability for such a scenario to materialize. In turn, should the bank hike rates by 25 basis points and imply further rate hikes down the line, it may provide further support for the Loonie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (CAD):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-the-drums-of-war-between-the-us-and-iran-resume\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 The drums of war between the US and Iran resume<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the WSJ, \u201cThe U.S. has told several Gulf Arab countries to be prepared for a short, intense military campaign after the U.S. midterm elections, people briefed on the conversations said\u201d. The possibility of a resumption of hostilities in the Middle East which can threaten the global oil supply, could provide support for oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (OIL):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-fed-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>FED Decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 20:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 4.0%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 4.0%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-boc-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>BOC Decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:45<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 2.5%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 2.25%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support CAD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-gold-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[GOLD , Commodities]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"752\" height=\"378\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-20.png\" alt=\"XAUUSD Daily Chart showcasing how its currently moving bearish\" class=\"wp-image-10935\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9933774834437086;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-20.png 752w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-20-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-20-300x151.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gold<\/strong> appears to be moving in a downwards fashion, with the precious metal\u2019s price having cleared our old support now turned to resistance at the 4080 (R1) level. We opt for a bearish outlook for the commodity\u2019s price and supporting our case is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/what-is-rsi-indicator-and-how-to-use-it-as-a-true-professional\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8452\">RSI indicator<\/a> below our chart which tends to imply a bearish market sentiment. For our bearish outlook to be maintained, we would require a break below our 3945 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 3820 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would require gold\u2019s price to remain confined between our 3945 (S1) support level and our 4080 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bullish outlook, we would require a clear break above our 4080 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being our 4200 (R2) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4200<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 3945<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 3820<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bearish-for-gold\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bearish for GOLD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>We wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see gold\u2019s price moving lower, considering the anticipated improvement in the Durable goods orders rate which could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/support-and-resistance-trading-a-complete-guide-for-beginners\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8300\">support<\/a> the dollar. Moreover, with the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow,any hawkish implications could aid the dollar whilst weighing on gold\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>Dovish Fed commentary<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-unexpected-events\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Unexpected events<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An unexpected event could upend our view<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY\u2019s WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> FED Decision<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> BOC Decision<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Fed\u2019s and the BoC\u2019s interest rate decisions are set to take place during today\u2019s American session, with the Fed widely expected to remain on hold, whilst the BoC may hike rates MORNING OVERVIEW We\u2019re looking forward to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision today in which the bank is widely expected to remain on hold. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7997,"template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"ts_analysis_category":[42],"class_list":["post-10934","news-and-analysis","type-news-and-analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ts_analysis_category-morning-brief"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>FED and BoC decisions today - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed and BoC rate decisions take centre stage today. Fed expected on hold, BoC may hike 25 bps. 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Fed expected on hold, BoC may hike 25 bps. 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