{"id":8489,"date":"2026-09-04T12:45:29","date_gmt":"2026-09-04T09:45:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=8489"},"modified":"2026-09-07T11:45:46","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T08:45:46","slug":"the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/news-analysis\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\/","title":{"rendered":"The US Employment data for August is due out today and is set to be the main event."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Employment data for August is set to be released during today\u2019s American trading session. The data is set to garner significant attention as it will be the last employment report prior to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision on the 15<sup>th<\/sup> of September. Thus, the financial release gains even greater importance in dictating the direction of the greenback today. In Asia, Japan\u2019s household spending rate for July came in lower than expected, implying a reduction in consumption, which could possibly weigh on the JPY. Lastly, Canada\u2019s employment data may be of interest for market participants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The objective:<\/strong> Today\u2019s objective is to prepare for the US Employment data<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-7387b849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7749<\/td><td>+0.02%<\/td><td>To be influenced by NFP<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>DXY<\/strong><\/td><td>99.033<\/td><td>+0.13<\/td><td>All eyes on the US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.16265<\/td><td>+0.01%<\/td><td>Wait and see pattern till NFP<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>4467.53<\/td><td>-0.13%<\/td><td>Dovish comments by Fed Waller<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent Crude<\/strong><\/td><td>95.760<\/td><td>+0.25%<\/td><td>Geopolitical tensions remain elavated<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-us-employment-data-for-august-due-out-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 US Employment data for August due out today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Employment data is set to be released during today\u2019s American trading session. We are looking at three releases, which are the NFP figure, the Average hourly earnings rate and of course the unemployment rate. The Non-Farm Payrols figure is expected to showcase an improvement from -23k to 55k, which in turn could support the dollar. On the other hand, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1% whilst the average hourly earnings are expected to come in at 3.0% which is lower than the prior rate of 3.2%. Thus, the overall picture paints a mixed labour market. Nonetheless, emphasis may be on the NFP figure as it is notoriously known to exceed or underperform the market\u2019s expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> Mixed<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-canada-s-employment-data-for-august\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 Canada\u2019s Employment data for August<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Canada\u2019s Employment data for August is set to be released during today\u2019s American session and may be of interest to Loonie traders. As things stand, economists are anticipating the employment change figure to come in at 15k which could be lower than the prior figure of 75.1k, whilst the unemployment rate is set to remain steady at 6.4%. Overall, should the financial release showcase a loosening of Canada\u2019s labour market, it may weigh on the CAD and vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (CAD):<\/strong>&nbsp; Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-us-vice-president-vance-says-all-options-are-on-the-table-against-iran\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 US Vice President Vance says all options are on the table against Iran<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tensions between the US and Iran have continued to escalate, with Iran attacking US military bases in Kuwait. The continued tit-for-tat attacks between the two nations. Thus when asked about the ongoing conflict by Journalist, US Vice President Vance noted that \u201ceverything\u201d is on&nbsp; the table in order to pressure the Iranian government. Overall, should tensions continue, oil prices may find continued support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (OIL):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-non-farm-payrolls-figure\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Non-Farm Payrolls figure<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 56k<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Previous:<\/strong> -23k<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Showcases the state of the US labour market<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Based on the expectations by economists, the financial release could provide support for the dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-unemployment-rate\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Unemployment rate<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 4.2%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 4.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Showcases the state of the US labour market<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A failure to reduce the unemployment rate may in turn weigh on the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-canada-s-unemployment-rate\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Canada\u2019s Unemployment rate<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time (GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 6.4%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 6.4%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Showcases the state of the Canadian labour market<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Should the unemployment rate fail to showcase an improvement it may imply a loosening labour market, which could weigh on the CAD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>[GOLD \/ COMMODITIES]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"521\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-1024x521.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8490\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-1024x521.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-767x390.png 767w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS-1536x781.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/XAUUSD-09042026-TS.png 1825w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4520<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4695<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 4330<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 4180<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical \/ Fundamental View:<\/strong> NEUTRAL<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Rates<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>&nbsp;Neutral<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>&nbsp;Neutral<\/td><td>US Employment data<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Geopolitical tensions<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case: A greater than expected figure in terms of the NFP figure, may provide support for the dollar.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>A lower than expected figure in terms of the Non-Farm-Payrolls financial release<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY&#8217;S WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> [US Employment data]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> [Canadian Employment data]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>03<\/strong> [Canada\u2019s Ivey PMI figure]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>04<\/strong> [Geopolitical developments]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This information is not considered as investment advice or investment recommendation but instead a marketing communication.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MORNING OVERVIEW The US Employment data for August is set to be released during today\u2019s American trading session. The data is set to garner significant attention as it will be the last employment report prior to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision on the 15th of September. Thus, the financial release gains even greater importance in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7963,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.4 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The US Employment data for August is due out today | Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The data is set to garner significant attention as it will be the last employment report prior to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision on the 15th of September.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/news-analysis\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The US Employment data for August is due out today and is set to be the main event.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The data is set to garner significant attention as it will be the last employment report prior to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision on the 15th of September.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/news-analysis\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradingsphereofficial\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-04T09:45:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-07T08:45:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/forex-performance-tracker-charts-buy-sell.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trading Sphere\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4da6fdbb3fc691c45bb17a3556eb70c2\"},\"headline\":\"The US Employment data for August is due out today and is set to be the main event.\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-04T09:45:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-07T08:45:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":722,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-analysis\\\/the-us-employment-data-for-august-is-due-out-today-and-is-set-to-be-the-main-event\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/07\\\/forex-performance-tracker-charts-buy-sell.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"News &amp; 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