{"id":10929,"date":"2026-10-27T16:17:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T13:17:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=10929"},"modified":"2026-10-27T16:17:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T13:17:21","slug":"rbnz-decision-tomorrow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-analysis\/rbnz-decision-tomorrow\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ decision tomorrow"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur during tomorrow\u2019s Asian trading session with the bank expected to hike rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019re looking forward to the RBNZ\u2019s decision during tomorrow\u2019s Asian trading session, in which the bank appears poised to hike rates by 25 basis points. Moreover, for today we would be looking at the release of the US Durable goods orders rate, which could provide support for the dollar leading up to the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7673<\/td><td>-0.04%<\/td><td>Fed decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>NZD\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>0.5688<\/td><td>0.13%<\/td><td>RBNZ decision tomorrow<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.1156<\/td><td>-0.16%<\/td><td>ECB Lagarde speech today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>3998<\/td><td>-0.47%<\/td><td>Fed<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent<\/strong><\/td><td>116.35<\/td><td>+0.47%<\/td><td>Fed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-rbnz-s-interest-rate-decision-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur during tomorrow\u2019s Asian session. The market may be expecting a rate hike by 25 basis points, with NZD OIS currently implying a 96.87% possibly for such a scenario to materialize. In turn, the Kiwi may be gaining support leading up to the interest rate decision tomorrow. Moreover, should the bank in its accompanying statement imply further rate hikes to come, it may provide support for the NZD. On the other hand, should the bank imply that they may withhold from raising rates in the future it could have the opposite effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (NZD):<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-us-durable-goods-orders-due-out-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 US Durable Goods orders due out today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Durable Goods orders for the month of September are set to be released later on today. The rate for September is set to improve, which could provide support for the USD as it may infer an increase in spending for manufacturing and businesses. Therefore, the rate expected by economists of 2.0% versus the prior rate of 0% on a month-on-month basis could aid the USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/how-to-read-bullish-and-bearish-market-sentiment\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"6571\">Bullish<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-ecb-lagarde-to-speak-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 ECB Lagarde to speak today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ECB President Lagarde is set to speak later on today. The comments by Lagarde could provide insight for market participants into the ECB\u2019s next steps leading up to their decision. Therefore, the commentary could influence the EUR\u2019s direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (EUR):<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-durable-goods-orders-rate-for-september-mom\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Durable Goods orders rate for September (MoM)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 14:30<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 2.0%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 0.0%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-tomorrow\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TOMORROW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-rbnz-decision\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RBNZ decision<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 03:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.00%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 2.75%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support NZD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-gold-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[GOLD , Commodities]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"752\" height=\"378\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-19.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10930\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9933774834437086;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-19.png 752w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-19-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-19-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gold<\/strong> appears to be moving in a downwards fashion, with the precious metal\u2019s price having cleared our old support now turned to resistance at the 4080 (R1) level. We opt for a bearish outlook for the commodity\u2019s price and supporting our case is the RSI indicator below our chart which tends to imply a bearish market sentiment. For our bearish outlook to be maintained, we would require a break below our 3945 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 3820 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would require gold\u2019s price to remain confined between our 3945 (S1) support level and our 4080 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bullish outlook, we would require a clear break above our 4080 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being our 4200 (R2) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4200<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 3945<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 3820<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><td>Durable Goods orders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Durable Goods orders<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>FED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bearish-for-gold\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bearish for GOLD<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>We wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see gold\u2019s price moving lower, considering the anticipated improvement in the Durable goods orders rate which could support the dollar. Moreover, with the Fed\u2019s interest rate decision tomorrow,any hawkish implications could aid the dollar whilst weighing on gold\u2019s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>Dovish Fed commentary<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-unexpected-events\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Unexpected events<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An unexpected event could upend our view<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY\u2019s WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> US Durable Goods orders rate<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> ECB Lagarde\u2019s speech<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur during tomorrow\u2019s Asian trading session with the bank expected to hike rates. MORNING OVERVIEW We\u2019re looking forward to the RBNZ\u2019s decision during tomorrow\u2019s Asian trading session, in which the bank appears poised to hike rates by 25 basis points. Moreover, for today we would be looking [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":9641,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBNZ decision tomorrow - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-analysis\/rbnz-decision-tomorrow\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBNZ decision tomorrow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The RBNZ\u2019s interest rate decision is set to occur during tomorrow\u2019s Asian trading session with the bank expected to hike rates. 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