{"id":11449,"date":"2026-11-03T12:34:15","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?post_type=news-and-analysis&#038;p=11449"},"modified":"2026-11-03T15:24:32","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T12:24:32","slug":"us-midterms-today","status":"publish","type":"news-and-analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/us-midterms-today\/","title":{"rendered":"US Midterms today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Midterms are set to take place today, with all eyes on the Democratic party, as they attempt to regain control of Congress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision took place earlier on today in which the bank hiked by 25 basis points as widely expected. For today, market participants are shifting their focus to the US midterm elections where the Democrats are vying for control of Congress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US 500<\/strong><\/td><td>7539<\/td><td>-0.09%<\/td><td>US Midterms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>AUD\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>0.6970<\/td><td>-0.41%<\/td><td>RBA split decision<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong><\/td><td>1.1192<\/td><td>+0.04%<\/td><td>US Midterms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>3902<\/td><td>-1.17%<\/td><td>US Midterms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Brent<\/strong><\/td><td>106.45<\/td><td>+1.64%<\/td><td>Will the US strike Iran this week?<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-us-midterms-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 US Midterms today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US midterm elections, are in the market\u2019s focus. All of the House of Representatives 435 seats and about a third of the Senate\u2019s seats are up for grabs. Currently Republicans control both chambers of the US Congress allowing for the Governments policies to pass into law, with a relative ease. Yet some polls imply that the Democrats may be able to flip one if not both Chambers of Congress. The high stakes elections could result in heightened volatility in the dollar. Particular attention is being directed towards the Alaska Senate race, amid recent developments concerning behind-the-scenes political manoeuvring. The Michigan Senate contest has also attracted attention following US Representative Haley Stevens\u2019 decision to change her endorsement in favour of the Republican Senate nominee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-rba-hikes-by-25-basis-points-as-was-expected\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 RBA hikes by 25 basis points as was expected<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The RBA hiked interest rates by 25 basis points as was widely expected by market participants. In Governor Bowman\u2019s press conference, she stated \u201cThere is a risk that inflation expectations among households and businesses will rise, making the task of bringing inflation back down to target even more difficult\u201d. The comments by the RBA Governor tend to showcase a willingness for further rate hikes in the future, which could provide support for the Aussie. However, the decision to hike was not unanimous with 3 members voting against, showcasing divisions within the bank which may dampen rate expectations. Thus, the dissent within the bank could predominantly weigh on the Aussie following the banks decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (AUD):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-us-jolts-figure-due-out-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 US JOLTs figure due out today<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As attention for the US Employment data begins to garner some momentum, we would like to note that the US JOLTs employment figure for the month of September is due to be released later on today. The figure is expected to showcase an improvement of the US labour conditions in the US economy which in turn could provide support for the dollar. Hence a better than expected figure could further aid the greenback and vice versa. Whereas a lower than expected could weigh on the USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (N\/A):<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-midterm-elections-polls-open\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US Midterm elections polls open<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 24:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> N\/A<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> N\/A<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Volatility in the USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-us-jolts-job-openings-figure\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>US JOLTs Job openings figure<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 17:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 7.150M<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 7.079M<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could support USD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-eur-usd-forex\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[EUR\/USD , FOREX]<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"752\" height=\"409\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11450\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.8409785932721712;width:602px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1.png 752w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/image-1-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> appears to be moving in an upwards fashion. We opt for a bullish outlook for the pair and supporting our case is the RSI and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/how-to-use-macd-indicator-a-complete-beginner-to-pro-guide\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8427\">MACD<\/a> indicators below our chart which tend to imply a bullish market sentiment. For our bullish outlook to be maintained, we would require a clear break above our 1.1245 (R1) resistance line with the next possible target for the bulls being our 1.1310 (R2) resistance line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would we would require the pair to remain confined between our 1.1185 (S1) support level and our 1.1245 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bearish outlook we would require a clear break below our 1.1185 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 1.1120 (S2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 1.1245<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 1.1310<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 1.1185<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 1.1120<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>Midterms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Neutral<\/td><td>Midterms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>DXY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Possible strikes on Iran this week<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-oil\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for OIL<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>We wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see oil prices moving higher this week, considering the possible strikes on Iran by the US next which have been floating around for a few days.In addition US oil executives from Chevron and Exxon Mobil have cancelled their trips to the Middle East next week, which tends to beg the question as to their reasoning behind such a decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>No strikes on Iran this week<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-unexpected-events\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Unexpected events<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Changing of the balance of power in Congress<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY\u2019s WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> US Midterms<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>02<\/strong> US JOLTs figure<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>DISCLAIMER: This information is not considered as investment advice or an investment recommendation, but is instead a marketing communication.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US Midterms are set to take place today, with all eyes on the Democratic party, as they attempt to regain control of Congress. MORNING OVERVIEW The RBA\u2019s interest rate decision took place earlier on today in which the bank hiked by 25 basis points as widely expected. For today, market participants are shifting their [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":11452,"template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"ts_analysis_category":[42],"class_list":["post-11449","news-and-analysis","type-news-and-analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ts_analysis_category-morning-brief"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Midterms today - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The US Midterms are set to take place today, with all eyes on the Democratic party, as they attempt to regain control of Congress.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/us-midterms-today\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Midterms today\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US Midterms are set to take place today, with all eyes on the Democratic party, as they attempt to regain control of Congress.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/us-midterms-today\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Trading Sphere\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradingsphereofficial\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-11-03T12:24:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Screenshot-2026-11-03-at-11.45.53-AM.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"766\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"382\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Trading Sphere\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/fr\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4da6fdbb3fc691c45bb17a3556eb70c2\"},\"headline\":\"US Midterms today\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-11-03T09:34:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-11-03T12:24:32+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":799,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/fr\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/11\\\/Screenshot-2026-11-03-at-11.45.53-AM.png\",\"inLanguage\":\"ar\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.tradingsphere.com\\\/en\\\/news-and-analysis\\\/morning-brief\\\/us-midterms-today\\\/\",\"name\":\"US Midterms today - 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