{"id":11285,"date":"2026-10-30T13:59:11","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T10:59:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/?p=11285"},"modified":"2026-10-30T14:04:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T11:04:06","slug":"us-mid-terms-to-take-place-next-tuesday","status":"publish","type":"news-and-analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/us-mid-terms-to-take-place-next-tuesday\/","title":{"rendered":"US Mid-Terms to take place next Tuesday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Mid-Terms are set to take place next Tuesday and could have influence the market\u2019s depending on the outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-morning-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MORNING OVERVIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The ECB remained on hold yesterday as was widely expected, yet the resignation announcement of ECB President Lagarde was what we found most interesting. In particular, her statement that \u201cI don\u2019t think I can remain neutral\u201d was a surprise. Depending on who emerges as the frontrunner to replace her, the EUR could find support or face bearish pressures. In the Equities markets, we\u2019re monitoring a tech rout with Intel dropping roughly 25% at the time of this report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-market-snapshot\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MARKET SNAPSHOT<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>MARKET<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CURRENT<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>CHANGE<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>COMMENT<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US 100<\/strong><\/td><td>28716<\/td><td>-2.34%<\/td><td>AI tech worries<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong><\/td><td>157.25<\/td><td>-0.27%<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/currency-pairs\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/currency-pairs\/\">EUR\/USD<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td>1.2034<\/td><td>+0.20%<\/td><td>Germany\u2019s HICP rates today<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/metals\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/metals\/\">Gold<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td>3981<\/td><td>-1.00%<\/td><td>DXY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/commodities\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/en\/markets\/commodities\/\">Brent<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td>113.46<\/td><td>+2.38%<\/td><td>US may strike Iran next week<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-market-themes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY MARKET THEMES<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-01-us-mid-terms-in-sight\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>01 \u2014 US Mid-Terms in sight<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US Mid-Terms are set to take place next Tuesday. Therefore, market participants may be exploring their options prior to the election date in order to hedge their bets or to prepare for a variety of scenarios. For example, the Republicans taking control of Congress or the Democrats, or even a mixed scenario with each party controlling one part of Congress i.e the Senate or the House of Representatives. Overall, the elections could lead to heightened trading volatility and in our view we would not be surprised to see the Democrats taking control of one part of Congress. Moreover, US oil executives from Chevron and Exxon Mobil have cancelled plans to travel to the Mid-East next week, which could be loosely tied to the report that the US may be preparing to strike Iran following the Mid-Term elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (USD):<\/strong> Neutral<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-02-ecb-lagarde-announces-her-resignation\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>02 \u2014 ECB Lagarde announces her resignation<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The ECB left rates unchanged yesterday, as widely expected. However, the main focus for markets may have been not the Bank\u2019s policy intentions but the announcement that President Christine Lagarde will step down on February 27, five months before her term ends.The move by Lagarde surprised the markets and especially her comments that she could no longer remain neutral. Nonetheless, the EUR may face downwards pressures until a frontrunner emerges for her position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (EUR):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-03-us-equities-in-trouble\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03 \u2014 US Equities in trouble<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alphabet shed 12.5% in Wednesday\u2019s after-hours trading following a weak earnings report. Amazon also missed market expectations on both EPS and revenue, while Intel issued weak forward guidance. Intel\u2019s stock in particular has dropped by roughly 25%.These developments appear to be weighing heavily on market sentiment, which could pull US stock markets substantially lower as the week draws to a close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market implication (US100):<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-matters-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WHAT MATTERS TODAY<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-germany-s-preliminary-hcip-rate-for-october\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Germany\u2019s preliminary HCIP rate for October<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Time GMT+2):<\/strong> 15:00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Expected:<\/strong> 3.1%<br><strong>Previous:<\/strong> 3.3%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Potential market reaction:<\/strong><br>Could weaken EUR<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-asset-focus\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ASSET FOCUS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-gold-commodities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>[GOLD , Commodities]<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"751\" height=\"380\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-22.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11286\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.9769736842105263;width:601px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-22.png 751w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-22-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/image-22-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 751px) 100vw, 751px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gold<\/strong> appears to be moving in a downwards fashion, with the precious metal\u2019s price having cleared our old support now turned to resistance at the 4080 (R1) level. We opt for a bearish outlook for the commodity\u2019s price and supporting our case is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/everything-forex\/what-is-rsi-indicator-and-how-to-use-it-as-a-true-professional\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"8452\">RSI indicator<\/a> below our chart which tends to imply a bearish market sentiment. For our bearish outlook to be maintained, we would require a break below our 3945 (S1) support level, with the next possible target for the bears being our 3820 (S2) support line. On the other hand, for a sideways bias we would require gold\u2019s price to remain confined between our 3945 (S1) support level and our 4080 (R1) resistance line. Lastly, for a bullish outlook, we would require a clear break above our 4080 (R1) resistance level, with the next possible target for the bulls being our 4200 (R2) resistance line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-key-levels\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>KEY LEVELS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Resistance (R1):<\/strong> 4080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance (R2):<\/strong> 4200<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S1):<\/strong> 3945<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Support (S2):<\/strong> 3820<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Technical View:<\/strong> Bearish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-cross-asset-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>CROSS-ASSET VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>ASSET CLASS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>BIAS<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KEY DRIVER<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>US Equities<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>Tech rout<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>USD<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Gold<\/strong><\/td><td>Bearish<\/td><td>DXY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Oil<\/strong><\/td><td>Bullish<\/td><td>Possible strikes on Iran next week<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-trading-sphere-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TRADING SPHERE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-bullish-for-oil\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bullish for OIL<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our base case:<\/strong><br>We wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see oil prices moving higher next week, considering the possible strikes on Iran by the US next which have been floating around for a few days.In addition US oil executives from Chevron and Exxon Mobil have cancelled their trips to the Middle East next week, which tends to beg the question as to their reasoning behind such a decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What would change our view:<\/strong><br>No strikes on Iran next week<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-risks-to-the-view\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>RISKS TO THE VIEW<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-unexpected-events\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Unexpected events<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Changing of the balance of power in Congress<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-today-s-watchlist\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TODAY\u2019s WATCHLIST<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>01<\/strong> Germany\u2019s HICP rates<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US Mid-Terms are set to take place next Tuesday and could have influence the market\u2019s depending on the outcome. MORNING OVERVIEW The ECB remained on hold yesterday as was widely expected, yet the resignation announcement of ECB President Lagarde was what we found most interesting. In particular, her statement that \u201cI don\u2019t think I [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":9639,"template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"ts_analysis_category":[42],"class_list":["post-11285","news-and-analysis","type-news-and-analysis","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","ts_analysis_category-morning-brief"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Mid-Terms to take place next Tuesday - Trading Sphere<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingsphere.com\/ar\/news-and-analysis\/morning-brief\/us-mid-terms-to-take-place-next-tuesday\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Mid-Terms to take place next Tuesday\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The US Mid-Terms are set to take place next Tuesday and could have influence the market\u2019s depending on the outcome. MORNING OVERVIEW The ECB remained on hold yesterday as was widely expected, yet the resignation announcement of ECB President Lagarde was what we found most interesting. 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